R7 SHING PING HANDICAP

Class 3 - 1650m


Happy Valley (M87) - Wednesday, 15 July 2020

21:45 HK TIME

summary


ALPHA HEDGE was a pick-up ride for Zac Purton when he won aboard him last time but the ease of the victory was such that he looks a very good chance of going back-to-back. In addition, he maps to get a very similar run and I expect the champion rider to be in a position to be ready to move when he deems it necessary. SHAMPORT will meet Alpha Hedge better at the weights (3kg) and in theory could make it interesting. There is no doubt he has held his form exceptionally well all season and possesses a sharp sprint when things pan out for him. BEAR AGAIN has posted a number of solid figures at the city course and if he’s allowed to dictate the pace, then he could prove hard to run down. A potential “negative” for him is that he is first-up for 98 days and might lack some fitness, although he has won in a freshened state in the past. I don’t like the booking of Alfie Chan for PICKEN, or barrier 10, but he is racing well and might go out over the odds and should certainly be included on a wider quaddie ticket. The apprentice’s claim might come in useful for CINQUANTE CINQ as well, who was disappointing last time, but is generally very good over the course and distance. My early leaning price-wise is towards Bear Again here, but use my prices accordingly.

selections


3 ALPHA HEDGE

(rp – $3.80)

2nd @ $1.35p (quinella with 1 @ $7.15)

1 BEAR AGAIN

(rp – $5.00)

1st @ $5.20 & $1.70 ($5.50 BC)

7 SHAMPORT

(rp – $6.50)

3rd @ $2.25p (trifecta/tierce with 1 & 3 @ $61.10)

2 PICKEN

(rp – $16.00)

12th

4 CINQUANTE CINQ

(rp – $8.00)

4th (quartet/first-four with 1, 3 & 7 @ $273.40)

strategy


CHECK PRICES AND OUTLAY ACCORDINGLY

speed


BEAR AGAIN can lead this race and the only pressure is likely to come from KASI FARASI and TURIN REDSTAR. ALPHA HEDGE is drawn to get an ideal run following the leaders from RED ELYSEES.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)