R2 VICTORY MARVEL HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1200m


Sha Tin (M86) - Sunday, 12 July 2020

13:00 HK TIME

summary


Zac Purton riding MIGHTY VALOUR is certainly an eye-catching booking and the horse is easy to make a case for on the back on his last couple of runs, including a smashing win on a wet track two starts ago. A good barrier and jockey upgrade will give him a great chance to win again and he could easily land the spoils. However, there looks to be a horse worth playing at a decent price and value, Simply Fluke. The horse’s chances will be helped by the 4.5kg claim of Jerry Chau, he doesn’t need to settle too far back in the running, and while many might think that the switch to Sha Tin isn’t a positive, I think the opposite. The quinella with Mighty Valor and Simply Fluke is certainly an appealing option also. Of the other horses, VIGOR CHAMP hit the line quite well on his last outing and with a light weight he should be staying on again. LUCKY PUZZLE could be another to inject some value in to the exotics. He’s been plagued by a run of wide draws and been sent out massive odds each time, however he gets a few more favours today and his last run hinted that he wasn’t far from being able to run well. MONKEY JEWELLERY will be in the market again but he is on his mark in the handicap and a minor spot looks more likely – he represents no value at all on a win line.

selections


3 SIMPLY FLUKE

(rp – $7.00)

10th

5 MIGHTY VALOR

(rp – $3.00)

4th

14 VIGOR CHAMP

(rp – $9.00)

1st @ $24.55 & $4.15 ($19.00 BC)

6 LUCKY PUZZLE

(rp – $16.00)

7th

2 MONKEY JEWELLERY

(rp – $10.00)

2nd @ $1.95p (quinella with 14 @ $62.80)

strategy


3 SIMPLY FLUKE

WIN (1 unit)

14 VIGOR CHAMP

WIN (1 unit)

5 with 3 & 14

QUINELLA (0.5 unit each, 1 unit total)

speed


ALL FOR ST PAUL’S, GREAT SON and MIGHTY VALOR are the most likely horses to contest the early lead and overall the tempo should be at least GOOD. REGENCY POET might also be ridden forward from HAPPY TIME and MONKEY JEWELLERY.


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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

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