R8 BABINGTON HANDICAP

Class 3 - 1000m


Happy Valley (M85) - Wednesday, 8 July 2020

22:15 HK TIME

summary


This is a competitive Class 3 1000m sprint where very little separates the chances of five or six horses. CALIFORNIA ARCHER returns to Happy Valley having run well at Sha Tin down the straight in two of his last three starts. The draws disadvantaged him on all those occasions and his runs still had merit. From a suitable barrier today I expect California Archer to be positioned just behind the leaders, from where he’ll be in an ideal position pounce in the straight. DIAMOND BRILLIANT showed good speed and fight to place behind ETERNAL HARVEST last time. The former gets Zac Purton now, but the wider draw won’t make things so easy. That said there’s not blistering early speed drawn inside of him, so he could find a position outside of the leader, which could see him competitive. Speaking of Eternal Harvest, he’s still very much on the up and even though he has weight-swings against him and a poor draw to overcome, he is capable. BE READY has had chances to win in Hong Kong and hasn’t gone through with it yet, but he’s drawn to get a soft run and the apprentice allowance in itself will help. EXPLOSIVE WITNESS isn’t without a chance, particularly if the leaders overdo things in front. The early lead is towards California Archer, but it’s a very even race.

selections


9 CALIFORNIA ARCHER

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $1.75p (quinella with 3 @ $13.05)

5 DIAMOND BRILLIANT

(rp – $6.00)

3rd @ $1.40p (trifecta/tierce with 3 & 9 @ $83.50)

6 ETERNAL HARVEST

(rp – $6.00)

Late-Scratched (at the barrier)

2 BE READY

(rp – $9.00)

5th

3 EXPLOSIVE WITNESS

(rp – $11.00)

1st @ $5.65 & $2.00

strategy


9 CALIFORNIA ARCHER

WIN (small)

speed


VERY SWEET ORANGE can work across to the lead from DIAMOND BRILLIANT. CALIFORNIA ARCHER can hold a position in front of BE READY on the rail and secure an ideal trip. GRATEFUL HEART can settle just behind the leaders also from G UNIT and ETERNAL HARVEST out wider.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)