R6 LYTTELTON HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1650m


Happy Valley (M85) - Wednesday, 8 July 2020

21:15 HK TIME

summary


TOTAL POWER will be one of the main plays on the card. He was tracking like a winner when badly checked on the point of the turn last time over the Valley mile and I thought he actually did pretty well inside the final-150m to pick himself up and hit the line relatively well. The challenge for Zac Purton will be navigating a winning path on Total Power from barrier 10, but that fact certainly helps contribute to a better price. AUTHENTIC CHAMP is a horse that will attract placing a smaller outlay to win. He caught the eye on his second career start over 1200m when he hit the line with a race-best final-200m (11.24). Authentic Champ really didn’t get a smooth run in transit at all and I noted him in my SID files, so with the step up to a mile tonight I have kept him safe. THUNDER STOMP is unlikely to get too much pressure on-pace and if he secures some cheap sectionals then he can run well. While MURRAY’S PARTNERS is another that arrives in to this event with a win over the course and distance at his last start and that rated pretty well. The margin was narrow, however he maps to be given every opportunity to be highly competitive again. That said, the value is with backing Total Power to win this, he’s my best of the night, and I have to have a smaller outlay on Authentic Champ.

selections


2 TOTAL POWER

(rp – $3.70)

2nd @ $2.60p (quinella with 9 @ $21.00)

8 AUTHENTIC CHAMP

(rp – $8.00)

10th

1 THUNDER STOMP

(rp – $8.00)

5th

9 MURRAY’S PARTNERS

(rp – $8.00)

1st @ $5.50 & $1.75

strategy


2 TOTAL POWER

WIN (5 units)

8 AUTHENTIC CHAMP

WIN (1 unit)

speed


THUNDER STOMP can lead this event without much pressure and overall the tempo is likely to be on the SLOW side of GOOD. MURRAY’S PARTNERS is drawn to take up a position close to the lead from LASTING FRIENDSHIP, TOTAL POWER and BLOOMING SPIRIT.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)