R2 SHA TIN HOI HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1200m


Sha Tin (M84) - Sunday, 5 July 2020

13:00 HK TIME

summary


There are a number of newcomers in this race and one of them, MY SUGAR, will be one of the main plays for the day. This imposing son of Deep Field has really impressed me in his work and trials and left the impression that he is more than a touch above average. Zac Purton has done plenty of work on him leading in to this debut and the fact he also chose this horse over LUCKY RUBY is a nice additional guide. He’s shown the requisite speed to be able to take up a forward position from where he’ll be very hard to beat in what is a shallow Class 4. I also expect that Lucky Ruby will perform well. His recent turf trial was most encouraging and he too appears to have enough potential to win his way out of this grade. The exposed runners look rather limited. HAPPY TANGO is competitively weighted but there are some runs most-recently that have rated well enough to suggest he can be reasonably competitive. SUPER MISSION will be a sharp improver. He just sat too close to a fast pace on his last outing and a more conservative approach should yield a much better result. I’m happy though to back My Sugar on debut, he’s my best of the day. Lucky Ruby is a big price, because Purton isn’t on him, but I don’t want to lose on the race if he wins either.

selections


7 MY SUGAR

(rp – $2.20)

4th

5 LUCKY RUBY

(rp – $12.00)

11th

10 SUPER MISSION

(rp – $8.00)

2nd @ $1.35p

11 HAPPY TANGO

(rp – $10.00)

6th

strategy


7 MY SUGAR

WIN (8 units)

5 LUCKY RUBY

WIN (1 unit)

speed


The pace should be GOOD here with MORE THAN ENOUGH able to show speed and potentially lead on the rail from LUCKY RUBY and MY SUGAR working across from out wider. VIVA CHEF can also go forward from SUPER MISSION and THE ELITES.


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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)