R11 YAN CHAU TONG HANDICAP

Class 2 - 1200m


Sha Tin (M84) - Sunday, 5 July 2020

17:45 HK TIME

summary


The last is one of the better quality races on the card for sure and it’s easy to like the chances of the likely favourite LUCKY EXPRESS. He was particularly good on his first-up run in Hong Kong when he ran 3rdto MR CROISSANT (ALL IN MIND ran 2ndand ARMANDO ran 4th). That day Lucky Express seemed to peak on his run at the 100m mark, which was fair enough given the brutal tempo. Hopefully Moreira is a touch more patient this time, but with natural improvement, given this is just his fourth career start, I expect that Lucky Express will be very hard to beat. There looks to be a smaller saver and good quinella option with MASSIVE POCKET. This horse is flying, along with everything from the stable and he simply wasn’t entitled to win at Happy Valley last time from where he got to in the running and given how that race was run. Based on that effort, he can win this. Mr Croissant was given a dream run last time but won nicely enough and is two from two when second-up. All In Mind and Armando are also chances on the score of their efforts behind Mr Croissant. Lucky Express is the horse to back most significantly here and Massive Pocket is worth a smaller play also.

selections


10 LUCKY EXPRESS

(rp – $2.40)

3rd @ $1.40p

3 MASSIVE POCKET

(rp – $12.00)

5th

2 MR CROISSANT

(rp – $8.00)

12th

8 ALL IN MIND

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $1.70p

strategy


10 LUCKY EXPRESS

WIN (6 units)

3 MASSIVE POCKET

WIN (1 unit)

speed


The tempo should be at least GOOD here with HIGHLY PROACTIVE setting things up in front with MOMENT OF POWER and SAUL’S SPECIAL in behind them. GUNNISON might press forward which will create more pressure leaving ALL IN MIND and MR CROISSANT to receive ideal trips behind the main pacesetters.


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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

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2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

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UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)