R10 CALIFORNIA MEMORY HANDICAP

Class 3 - 1400m


Sha Tin (M73) - Sunday, 24 May 2020

17:15 HK TIME

summary


I think that HAPPY ALUMNI is the best horse in this event, but he just does so much wrong on race day that he really isn’t a betting proposition and isn’t easy to price. He often misses the start by a margin and then rattles home late, but if I could be confident he would jump on terms, then he would be a horse I’d mark shorter and a confident bet. BEAUTY SMILE goes in to this race third-up on the back of two solid efforts in his first Hong Kong preparation. Both runs have rated very well and Joao Moreira takes over from Karis Teetan today. He deserves to be favourite and will be hard to beat. REGENCY BO BO went okay in a recent trial but often his “first-up” form is excellent and if there is any rain about then he will not have any issues. I like the fact that he arrives in this grade on fresher legs than others at this time of the season. AMAZING CHOCOLATE impressed me enough in a recent trial and his victory two starts ago rated well, but then he dipped last time out. He needs to be included in calculations, along with BEAUTY SPIRIT who is holding his form well but has more weight this time following his win, where he was given an excellent run.

selections


3 BEAUTY SMILE

(rp – $3.50)

11th

10 HAPPY ALUMNI

(rp – $6.00)

10th

2 REGENCY BO BO

(rp – $9.00)

Lost Rider

12 AMAZING CHOCOLATE

(rp – $10.00)

1st @ $6.85 & $2.50 ($9.00 BC)

1 BEAUTY SPIRIT

(rp – $12.00)

4th

strategy


CHECK PRICES AND OUTLAY ACCORDINGLY

speed


BEAUTY SPIRIT can work forward from REGENCY BO BO, and HELLO BEAUTY from out wider. BEAUTY SMILE should find an ideal position following the leaders from FLYING VICTORY and PRIME MINISTER.


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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)