R7 NAM CHUNG RIVER HANDICAP

Class 3 - 1650m


Happy Valley (M72) - Wednesday, 20 May 2020

21:45 HK TIME

summary


NORDIC WARRIOR shapes as a horse a reasonable value early and therefore worth a small outlay to win. I liked his most recent performance when he hit the line with plenty of purpose over 1200m to finish 2nd to Shining Gem, with his final-400m (22.44) coming in as the best of the meeting. Nordic Warrior has performed well over the mile without winning and maps to get a nice soft run around midfield during the race. BRAVE KING has been building nicely in his first preparation and in a key form reference behind Acclaimed Light (FARSHAD was 6th), he sustained a nice run to the wire and perhaps with the shadow roll fitted it could help him find the little bit that he needs to. The concern for Brave King is that he doesn’t have very much tactical speed. CHAIRMAN LO and MAGNIFICENT finished alongside each other over the track and trip (Race 638) last time and both have similar claims again, while GREEN REIGN seemed to go better when ridden with patience in a recent trial. However, I’m not sure the “C+3” course is ideal for him if he gets too far back. However if the pace is strong early and they slacken the speed mid-race he good slide into the race before unleashing his strong finish. Nordic Warrior is the horse I’m happy to have a small outlay on to win this though as it’s not a high confident race, but nevertheless he’s overs.

selections


12 NORDIC WARRIOR

(rp – $5.00)

5th

7 BRAVE KING

(rp – $6.50)

4th

11 CHAIRMAN LO

(rp – $9.00)

11th

1 MAGNIFICENT

(rp – $9.00)

1st @ $6.45 & $2.45 ($8.00 BC)

3 GREEN REIGN

(rp – $11.00)

9th

strategy


12 NORDIC WARRIOR

WIN (2 units)

speed


MAGNIFICENT can lead this race at a GOOD speed with FARSHAD working forward as he often does. CALIFORNIA GUNGHO is drawn to sit handy to the speed from WIND GLLIDER and CHAIRMAN LO.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)