R6 SHAN PUI RIVER HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1200m


Happy Valley (M72) - Wednesday, 20 May 2020

21:15 HK TIME

summary


Given that the rail is in the “C+3” position tonight and SIMPLY FLUKE has drawn wide again, it will be interesting to see what the market does with him as he has to be some sort of risk! From gate 11 in the last 27 races on the “C+3” course there’s only been one winner (4%), so it’s not an overly encouraging statistic. That said, he’s had the tempo to suit and brilliant rides his last two starts to overcome barrier 12, so it’s not to say it’s an impossible task – it’s about the right price. The application of the blinkers and positive tactics on INTERSTELLAR seemed to bring about a much-improved performance, and he might take some catching in this race tonight. The concern for him is that he has shown himself to be very weak late in his races, but he looks close to as ready as he’ll ever be to win. From that perspective, that’s where JADE PHOENIX might be best-positioned to be able to take advantage of a tiring leader. His recent trial was excellent and his 1200m form earlier this term behind the likes of Ping Hai Bravo and President’s Choice has worked out exceptionally well. Back in December he went to Happy Valley for a trial and performed okay, so I’m happy to have him marked as favourite and the horse to beat in this one. HARRIER JET and DESTINE JEWELLERY have claims for a minor spot. I’m happy to have a decent crack against Simply Fluke here and back Jade Phoenix (who to me should be favourite) and Interstellar)

selections


4 JADE PHOENIX

(rp – $3.20)

7th

8 INTERSTELLAR

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $2.20p

2 SIMPLY FLUKE

(rp – $7.50)

4th

5 HARRIER JET

(rp – $14.00)

3rd @ $3.65p

6 DESTINE JEWELLERY

(rp – $16.00)

12th

strategy


4 JADE PHOENIX

WIN (5 units)

8 INTERSTELLAR

WIN (2.5 units)

speed


INTERSTELLAR can lead this race from MULTIMAX and the overall tempo should be on the FAST side of GOOD. FLYING BONUS will probably press forward from a wide barrier with JADE PHOENIX drawn to get one of the runs of the race.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)