R2 TAN SHAN RIVER HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1800m


Happy Valley (M72) - Wednesday, 20 May 2020

19:15 HK TIME

summary


SHADOW BREAKER was unwanted in the betting over the course and distance on his last outing before making every post a winner, and there was a fair amount of merit in the victory. He should be suited to the rail being in the “C+3” position and he has enough pace to cross this field easily and lead again. However, he was really left alone last time and with SALTO OLIMPICO engaged here, I doubt that Moreira will let him have his own way in front for as long. Salto Olimpico also rode a hot pace over 2200m at his last start and made an early move. I think he deserves favouritism off the best numbers for this. DIONYSUS COLLIN is a perennial placegetter but the booking of Zac Purton will attract some public support, and fair enough too. He has certainly been consistent this term, but personally, I am not convinced he wants to get his head in front and fight to keep it there. PERFECT TO PLAY should get a good run during the race and is one for exotic players, while PRETTY BAUHINIA is capable but his lack of early pace is always a concern.

selections


7 SALTO OLIMPICO

(rp – $4.50)

Pulled-Up

3 SHADOW BREAKER

(rp – $6.00)

6th

9 DIONYSUS COLLIN

(rp – $5.50)

1st @ $2.55 & $1.40 ($2.80 BC)

8 PRETTY BAUHINIA

(rp – $11.00)

2nd @ $3.75p (quinella with 9 @ $15.10)

strategy


CHECK PRICES AND OUTLAY ACCORDINGLY

speed


There isn’t a great deal of early pace and pressure here with SHADOW BREAKER and SALTO OLIMPICO the two runners likely to contest and control the speed. PARTY TOGETHER and PERFECT TO PLAY can settle close to the lead pair from HOME WIN out wider.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)