R2 TAI MONG TSAI HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1000m


Sha Tin (M71) - Sunday, 17 May 2020

13:30 HK TIME

summary


The second event is a straight 1000m contest that features four debutants and three other horses that have only had two career starts. GOKO will be popular in the market given he drops in grade, is back to his preferred track and trip, and especially considering he’s drawn gate 14. Goko looks a great winning chance for the budding apprentice jockey Jerry Chau. I haven’t really been a fan of DUBLIN STAR to date, but such is the apparent lack of depth in this line up, that he might have a chance to figure in the finish. He’s run well on occasions and really gets as good an opportunity as he’s had to win his first race here. COLONEL had excuses last time when checked in the straight and ‘mucus’ was detected post race. That said, drawing a low gate isn’t ideal for his chances today. GALLANT CROWN displayed some potential in his work and he is drawn to get a nice run tracking the pace on the outside rail this afternoon. He could be worth a small “speck” on debut. The recent turf trial of DR EQ was rather plain, but I have seen plenty of John Size-trained runners perform in the manner and still manage to win easily on debut. Watch for a market lead for him. Use my prices here, Goko is the lead but with low confidence.

selections


1 GOKO

(rp – $2.50)

8th

9 DUBLIN STAR

(rp – $7.50)

1st @ $3.70 & $1.25 ($4.20 BC)

7 GALLANT CROWN

(rp – $14.00)

11th

5 DR EQ

(rp – $9.00)

13th

strategy


CHECK PRICES AND OUTLAY ACCORDINGLY

speed


The pace should be GOOD here with BESTA LUCK, DR EQ and GOKO leading the field up on the grandstand rail from COLONEL on the far side. GALLANT CROWN might be able to track these runners from JAZZ STEED, GOLD ‘N’ BOLD and NEXTMODEL.


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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)