R8 MA KONG SHAN HANDICAP

Class 3 - 1800m


Happy Valley (M70) - Wednesday, 13 May 2020

22:15 HK TIME

summary


These 1800m contests at Happy Valley have been very difficult to work out this season and I’m sure this one won’t be much different. I liked the run of ABOVE in defeat on his last start as he wasn’t given the best ride when taking off mid-race (pre-determined tactics that backfired) yet still only weakened late. If he receives a softer and more measured run in transit (with Joao Moreira getting back on board), then he could easily turn that last start result into a win. BLASTOISE is another that can win. He comes through a strong form reference from Sha Tin (Race 570) where he was runner-up to Enzemble. Champion Supreme finished on behind that pair and has won nicely since. Blastoise himself has had one start over the course and distance for a win and he could easily notch another tonight. WORLD FAMOUS ran 4th to Blastoise earlier this season and his recent trial was sound work. From barrier 2 he should be given every opportunity in the running, following a freshen-up after the Derby (which proved too rich). GOOD OMEN has the booking of Zac Purton and his run behind Bear Again contained a lot of merit. Forget his last outing when whilst he was a bit weak to line, he was ridden differently to how he might be most effective. He could be a big improver with the rider change.

selections


7 ABOVE

(rp – $5.00)

7th

8 BLASTOISE

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $2.40p

1 WORLD FAMOUS

(rp – $6.50)

5th

2 GOOD OMEN

(rp – $8.00)

4th

strategy


CHECK PRICES AND OUTLAY ACCORDINGLY

speed


BEAUTY HAPPY can lead this race with WORLD FAMOUS on his inside. ABOVE might be asked to go forward in the search of a handy position from BLASTOISE. Overall the pace is unlikely to be quick, however it’s been very hard to predict how they’ll run races over these sort of distances with random mid-race moves being prevalent.


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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)