R5 GLADIOLUS HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1200m


Happy Valley (M68) - Wednesday, 6 May 2020

20:45 HK TIME

summary


This race is a little tricky from a mapping perspective. HARMONY N HOME was mentioned in my Sweet In Defeat (SID) files and given the race pace and pattern went against him last time, there was plenty of merit in his run when finishing 9thof 12 runners over the course and distance. Given he has a low gate tonight, with Moreira on board, I expect that he might position a lot closer in the running as a potential leader, and can turn things around. MOMENTUM GALAXY was subject to a riding tactics “enquiry” last time when a series of bad calls in running meant his effort was significantly better than it appears on paper. Zac Purton obviously liked what he saw and has been booked to ride this time. However, he doesn’t have a lot of gate speed and he will jump from a tricky draw. THE RUNNER was very good when 2nd to Sky Treasure, but that race didn’t rate that well overall, although the horse still has some upside and is potentially good enough to be competitive here. Then there’s DESTINE JEWELLERY, who was a last start winner over this track and trip, but it rated more like a Class 5 event. The market might tell a story here, with tactics and intent, so watch moves closely and match them to my rated prices, with the top-two runners of most interest to me.

selections


1 HARMONY N HOME

(rp – $4.00)

3rd @ $1.55p

2 MOMENTUM GALAXY

(rp – $5.00)

8th

3 THE RUNNER

(rp – $6.50)

1st @ $6.00 & $1.90

6 DESTINE JEWELLERY

(rp – $8.00)

4th

strategy


CHECK PRICES AND OUTLAY ACCORDINGLY

speed


HARMONY N HOME can lead this race from DESTINE JEWELLERY and for a 1200m event there doesn’t look like a great deal of pace on paper. THE RUNNER can take a close position from JAZZ STEED and potentially MOMENTUM GALAXY.


Warning: file_get_contents(https://archive.hutchishonkers.com/wp-content/plugins/hutchis-honkers/api/api.php?mode=races&code=hongkong&dt=2020-05-06): failed to open stream: HTTP request failed! HTTP/1.1 403 Forbidden in /home/customer/www/archive.hutchishonkers.com/public_html/wp-content/plugins/hutchis-honkers/shortcodes.php on line 42

Warning: Invalid argument supplied for foreach() in /home/customer/www/archive.hutchishonkers.com/public_html/wp-content/plugins/hutchis-honkers/shortcodes.php on line 69

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)