R9 SILENT WITNESS HANDICAP

Class 2 - 1200m


Sha Tin (M65) - Sunday, 26 April 2020

17:15 HK TIME

summary


I like the recent form of GOLD CHEST. He probably wasn’t suited by dropping back to 1000m following his victory over the course and distance back in February, but there was still plenty of merit to the run especially considering he mounted his challenge on the far (inferior) side of the straight track. Gold Chest can settle closer here, meets COMPUTER PATCH on better terms (1.5kg) compared to their last meeting (Race 481) and there is a significant jockey upgrade to Zac Purton. He’ll just need a little luck making his run at the right time, but I have him as the horse to beat. Computer Patch himself also maps well and also gets a jockey upgrade (Joao Moreira). He has managed to run the quinella in four of six local starts and will make his presence felt again. It’ll be tactically very interesting watching the leading hoops here and hopefully in watching each other, they don’t lose sight of the main prize of winning the race! In an event with plenty of pace, both TRANSCENDENT and WATER DIVINER can run well and inject some value in to the exotics, but they both map poorly from their barriers. If they overdo things up front, then they are capable of swooping. That said, I’m happy to back Gold Chest primarily and take quinellas with mainly Computer Patch, and a lessor spend with Transcendent and Water Diviner.

selections


7 GOLD CHEST

(rp – $3.00)

3rd @ $1.35p

4 COMPUTER PATCH

(rp – $3.50)

1st @ $2.40 & $1.20 ($3.10 BC)

12 TRANSCENDENT

(rp – $9.00)

7th

10 WATER DIVINER

(rp – $16.00)

5th

strategy


7 GOLD CHEST

WIN (4.5 units)

7 with 4

QUINELLA (1.5 units)

7 with 10 & 12

QUINELLA (0.5 unit each, 1 unit total)

speed


There’s likely to be strong speed here with set by MOMENT OF POWER and SPEED VISION. YEE CHEONG BABY and SPARKLING DRAGON can take close order also from COUNTRY STAR, who maps to advantage.


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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)