I like the fact that GOLD CHEST races over 1200m again and he has been in near faultless form recently as well. Purton getting the ride is a big positive and the shape of the race should suit him. I will settle off the speed and with the expected pace I hope to see him in the clear in order to unleash his powerful finish.

Results: 3rd (-4.5 units) + 1st, 5th & 7th (-2.5 units) -> (-7 units)

GOOD LUCK FRIEND was very good when he won his last start and to my eye he had a bit up his sleeve. Whilst being drawn wide isn’t good over the 1200m at Sha Tin, he’s shown he possesses the speed to overcome the draw and there isn’t a great deal of pressure inside of him. JUDY’S STAR is the horse I’m wary of. He’s ready to win, but has a few tricks from the barriers, but the quinella with those two appeals.

Results: 2nd (-4 units) + 5th (-1 unit) -> (-5 units)

Chad Schofield will ride WAR OF COURAGE again and the pair can make an impact in this race. The horse’s natural speed can help overcome the draw and I expect that he’ll handle okay racing around a bend for the first time. His numbers suggest he hasn’t stopped winning and I like the 1200m for him.

Result: 3rd (-3 units)

The last race, whilst a quality and competitive affair, is one where I see some horses at decent value that are worth outlaying on. MONICA is the first of those and has been in rock-solid form. I wasn’t ideally ridden last start and should get more favours from barrier 1 this afternoon. GENERAL’S DELIGHT and BAND OF BROTHERS are also priced too big for mine and are worth small win bets too. I’m not a fan of Chan, but the horse formerly known as Millard Reaction has ability and is a very interesting chance carrying no weight today. I’m hoping for a “solid” from Alfie today!

Results: 12th (-2 units) + 1st @ $14.00 BC (+13 units) + 4th (-1 unit) -> (+10 units)