R4 MARIGOLD HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1650m


Happy Valley (M64) - Wednesday, 22 April 2020

20:15 HK TIME

summary


The two main chances in this event are CHARITY GRAND and INVALUABLE. The former sat close enough to a solid tempo last time and it seemed to dull his finish. Nonetheless, his prior effort behind Juneau Park reads well and has the ability to work forward and settle in a prominent position. There isn’t a great deal of pressure on paper and that fact could see him perform better and excel as a consequence. Invaluable was just awkwardly placed last time and got a lot further back in the running than he needed to. Chad Schofield is riding in good form and he can settle a lot closer this time from barrier 5, which should give him a much better chance. The likely leader is WHO’S HORSE, who ran 3rdover the course and distance to Blooming Spirit and whilst that form is nothing special, the rail being in the “C+3” position is a positive for his chances. ELECTRIC LIGHTNING brings the same formline as Charity Grand and warrants some consideration, although he is well exposed in many respects. Not a race I’m too keen on, but the lead is towards Charity Grand and Invaluable to win with very small units.

selections


5 CHARITY GRAND

(rp – $5.00)

12th

7 INVALUABLE

(rp – $6.50)

5th

11 WHO’S HORSE

(rp – $7.50)

11th

9 ELECTRIC LIGHTNING

(rp – $7.50)

1st @ $4.20 & $1.65 ($4.80 BC)

strategy


5 CHARITY GRAND

WIN (v small)

7 INVALUABLE

WIN (v small)

speed


Another race where there isn’t a great deal of pace on paper, but WHO’S HORSE can lead this from possibly CHARITY GRAND and REGENCY GEM. SWOT TROOPERS WIND can work forward from out wide also and ELECTRIC LIGHTNING from barrier 2 might not be too far from the leaders.


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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)