

R9 CEDAR HANDICAP
Class 2 - 1800m
Happy Valley (M62) - Wednesday, 15 April 2020
22:50 HK TIME
summary
This is another open and competitive race with the main two runners I like here being HELENE CHARISMA and DANCES WITH DRAGON. The former was very unlucky on his last outing and his recent form has actually been a lot better than it looks on paper. He loves Happy Valley and with Blake Shinn on board, you will get a better price than if another leading jockey was aboard given Blake is striking around 3%. Dances With Dragon won very well indeed first-up for Caspar Fownes and there was nothing wrong with his effort on the sealed dirt track at his next outing. I like him coming back to the turf, but he will need some luck in the running from a wide gate. RELIABLE TEAM was a sound performer in the Hong Kong Derby, and is proven at this course. He has tactical speed and might be able to sit in a controlling position during the race, which is a positive. There will probably be some market support for ENRICHMENT and while his recent efforts have rated pretty well, I am far from convinced he is suited to Happy Valley. I would prefer to take a chance with Righteous Doctrine at a bigger price as I was suitably impressed by how well he won last start on the dirt.
selections
2 HELENE CHARISMA
(rp – $7.00)
9th
4 DANCES WITH DRAGON
(rp – $5.50)
1st @ $4.45 & $1.75 ($7.50 BC)
5 RELIABLE TEAM
(rp – $6.50)
8th
9 ENRICHMENT
(rp – $7.50)
2nd @ $1.65p (quinella with 4 @ $9.65)
11 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE
(rp – $18.00)
3rd @ $3.80p (trifecta/tierce with 4 & 9 @ $204.00)
strategy
2 HELENE CHARISMA
WIN (1.5 units)
4 DANCES WITH DRAGON
WIN (2.5 units)
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SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:
88
MEETINGS
2292.8
TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS
+239.8
UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)
SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:
88
MEETINGS
2292.8
TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS
+239.8
UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)