R3 SPRUCE HANDICAP

Class 4 - 1650m


Happy Valley (M62) - Wednesday, 15 April 2020

19:45 HK TIME

summary


TUNG WAH GLORY should prove the runner to beat in this event. He was terrific when dropping back to 1400m last start and scoring, albeit off a suitable strong tempo, but he showed a blistering sprint at his start prior at the city course and showed that he handles the track. The wide draw isn’t ideal, but from that perspective, we are in the hands of Zac Purton, which is pleasing. TRIUMPHANT HORSE comes through some good races and he can settle a lot closer from a low draw this time. With Joao Moreira booked to ride, he will be popular in the market. Given the draws, their chances are equalized somewhat and my assessment isn’t dissimilar to the early market, so there isn’t a great deal of “fat” between them. COURAGEOUS DRAGON brings in the same form as Tung Wah Glory, as he finished 4th to him. BULB ELITE will roll forward and probably won’t get too much pressure in that role and should give a good account once again. Overall there’s not much to report early, so use my prices accordingly.

selections


3 TUNG WAH GLORY

(rp – $3.60)

2nd @ $1.75p

2 TRIUMPHANT HORSE

(rp – $4.00)

6th

9 BULB ELITE

(rp – $9.00)

8th

12 COURAGEOUS DRAGON

(rp – $9.00)

7th

strategy


CHECK PRICES AND OUTLAY ACCORDINGLY

speed


BREEDERS’ SKY and BULB ELITE look like the pair to generate most of the tempo in the early stages and overall it’s unlikely to be any faster than GOOD. FAITHFUL TRINITY can lay up close from TRIUMPHANT HORSE, who should be ideally positioned.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)