best selections and strategies

Happy Valley (M60) - Wednesday, 8 April 2020

28 units Strategy

best outlay


10 DIAMOND BRILLIANT (rp – $1.90) 

WIN (7 units)

DIAMOND BRILLIANT looks very well-placed in a race where Joao Moreira should be able to get into a controlling position on or outside of the lead. He has been delivering good performances in races where he’s had to work hard and should get an easier time here and prove too strong.

Result: 3rd (-7 units)



10 SUPER ALLIANCES (rp – $2.80) 

WIN (5 units)

The map suits SUPER ALLIANCES ideally in this race. He was better being ridden a little more quietly early last time and should be able to follow the leaders here before being given his chance to release in the straight.

Result: 2nd (-5 units)


2 STRONGER (rp – $2.50)

WIN (4.5 units)

10 THIS IS CLASS (rp – $5.00)

WIN (2 units)

2 with 10 

QUINELLA (1 unit)

Both STRONGER and THIS IS CLASS appeal as leading chances to win the last race and are at backable prices. The former is better suited following a straight track run, which should simply be forgotten. Whilst This Is Class looks to be underrated by the market because he is running over 1000m. I think the shorter distance will suit him and he might sprint well off the back of a strong speed.

Results: 7th (-4.5 units) + 1st @ $6.00 BC (+10 units) + (-1 unit) -> (+4.5 units)


10 SIMPLY FLUKE (rp – $3.20)

WIN (4 units)

1 MOMENTUM GALAXY (rp – $5.50) 

WIN (1.5 units)

SIMPLY FLUKE has been ready to win for a few starts now and a stable change doesn’t change that fact. He just needs some Moreira magic from barrier 12 and if he gets it he can finish over the top of his competition. MOMENTUM GALAXY also looks a backable price and just needs to jump cleanly and better use an inside barrier.

Results: 1st @ $3.70 BC (+10.8 units) + 7th (-1.5 units) -> (+9.3 units)


9 LARSON (rp – $3.60) 

WIN (3 units)

LARSON is another runner returning from a Sha Tin straight run where he wasn’t suited by being on the far side of the course. His last two runs have been excellent and just needs a touch of luck getting an economical sit behind what should be a suitable good tempo race.

Result: 1st @ $6.00 BC (+15 units)

Overall result for 28 units strategy

+16.8 UNITS  (60% PROFIT)

Well we got the results late in the night with Larson and This Is Class in particular.

Overall I’m very happy with the plays and there was some good shopping to be had. The horses that placed (Super Alliances and Diamond Brilliant) were surprisingly beaten and I’ll be interested in the stewards report tomorrow as on the face of things they got reasonable runs on the pace.

It was a +16.8 unit result for the strategy (BC) with an excellent 60% POT.

Join me on Easter Sunday at Sha Tin for meeting 61 of the season.



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