R6 THE LI CUP (HANDICAP)

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Sha Tin (M69) - Sunday, 5 May 2019

15:00 HK TIME

summary


For a change there might be some value about a Size/Moreira runner in this one with SHINING ACE. He has been a lot better in defeat than it appears at first glance, including his last-start third over the course and distance when he just worked far too hard through the early stages. Providing he gets a half decent run in the race, he will be hard to beat and is a solid play. BELLAGIO resumes after 6 months and a stable change and his recent trial leading in to this event was sound. He has shown enough potential to be very competitive. TOUCH OF LUCK is another interesting runner with a stable change and his recent all-weather trial indicates that he is an improved galloper. He will run well and might inject some value in to a quinella ticket or two. Of the remainder, SPEEDY OPTIMIST has some upside and might fill a minor slot. I’m happy to back Shining Ace to win here primarily with a smaller win outlay on Touch Of Luck.

From Sweet In Defeat:

SHINING ACE

selections


8 SHINING ACE

(rp – $3.80)

4th

9 TOUCH OF LUCK

(rp – $5.00)

3rd @ $1.90p

7 BELLAGIO

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $5.05 & $2.00

6 SPEEDY OPTIMIST

(rp – $9.00)

5th

strategy


8 SHINING ACE

WIN (5 units)

9 TOUCH OF LUCK

WIN (3.5 units)

8 with 7

QUINELLA (1 unit)

9 with 7 & 8

QUINELLA (0.75 unit each, 1.5 units total)

speed


EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE can lead this event from CALIFORNIA LEGEND and SPEEDY OPTIMIST other pace influences. TOUCH OF LUCK, BELLAGIO and SHINING ACE can find good positions behind those runners and overall the speed should be GOOD.