R4 TO KWA WAN HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M68) - Wednesday, 1 May 2019

20:45 HK TIME

summary


I’m very keen on playing in this event. HAPPY WARRIOR will probably start a well-enough supported favourite based on recent form, and he can win, but he doesn’t look like a great price early on and this creates opportunities elsewhere. ACCLAIMED LIGHT might go out at reasonable odds and there was plenty of merit in his last run over the Valley mile when the tempo just wasn’t there to suit, given the tactics on that occasion. His general pattern recently is to get back in the running even though he’s taken closer order with success in the past (about a year ago). That said, the outlay here is on GOOD FOR YOU. His last two runs over this course and distance have rated very well, easily good enough to win this event and there have been winners galore come out of those races. In addition, his last performance was a lot better than it looked with a final-400m of 22.11, the 10th-best at meeting – this galloper is simply ready to rumble. C P POWER has form around Good For You earlier this season and can also figure in the run to the line.

selections


3 GOOD FOR YOU

(rp – $4.00)

5th

1 ACCLAIMED LIGHT

(rp – $6.00)

3rd @ $1.85p

4 HAPPY WARRIOR

(rp – $4.80)

2nd @ $1.40p

7 C P POWER

(rp – $8.00)

7th

strategy


3 GOOD FOR YOU

WIN & PLACE (2.5 x 5)

speed


There isn’t a great deal of early pace in this race and I expect that GLORY STAR will lead without much competition initially. HAPPY WARRIOR can lay-up close to him from C P POWER and from wider, MISTER MONTE. GOOD FOR YOU should be able to land on the rail, just in front of midfield.