R3 FWD INSURANCE ICBC (ASIA) HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M67) - Sunday, 28 April 2019

13:45 HK TIME

summary


This is an interesting contest with three last start winners that are all progressive types, competing against a maiden that has been knocking on the door for success. EVERYONE’S JOY, WAR LORD and DUKE WAI, each did things well in their own right when successful at their last starts and MERIDIAN GENIUS continues to hit the line in eye-catching fashion even after doing things wrong early in his races. As a consequence, it is tough to be overly confident in this one and suggest much of an advantage over the market as in many respects it’s difficult to know just how good some of them are going to be based on their efforts so far and they all rate similarly. Everyone’s Joy is a son of Redoute’s Choice out of a Zabeel mare, so no doubt he looks to have a bright future and appreciate further, but he maps to get a nice run and can win again. Meridian Genius almost seems a little ‘field shy’ but when he is allowed room, he has displayed a terrific turn of foot and is regularly posting solid final-400m sectionals. War Lord was tough last time after settling three-wide without cover and repelling all challengers, and he could win again, especially with a softer run in transit. Duke Wai’s numbers weren’t great for his second win but he is progressive, while HURRICANE HUNTER might be the best ‘overs’ in the race. He drops back to 1,200m but should be running on strongly and whilst he has not won as many times as the market has signaled (beaten favourite three out of his last four starts) his best is close to good enough and today you don’t have to take 2/1 to find out.

selections


1 EVERYONE’S JOY

(rp – $4.50)

1st @ $4.90 & $1.65 ($6.00 best corporate)

4 MERIDIAN GENIUS

(rp – $4.80)

4th

5 WAR LORD

(rp – $5.50)

8th

13 HURRICANE HUNTER

(rp – $12.00)

9th

strategy


1 EVERYONE’S JOY

WIN & PLACE (small units)

speed


I expect that with THE ABRAXAS drawn wide he might help generate a GOOD speed overall by being ridden to lead. WAR LORD and EVERYONE’S JOY can also roll forward from TIGERLAD.