R2 FWD INSURANCE ACT PRIVATE HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M67) - Sunday, 28 April 2019

13:15 HK TIME

summary


There was plenty to like about the debut win of DAN CONTROL and no doubt the public will ensure he starts pretty short in the market with Champion jockey Zac Purton booked to ride. He should get a nice run in transit and while he is open to improvement with only one Hong Kong run under the belt, this will be a slightly tougher assignment. In addition, looking back at his win, whilst it rated well-enough, nine horses have competed out of that race since, with just one runner hitting the frame, so there exist some question marks around what he beat (race 498). At their early prices, I prefer the chances of GOLDEN SIXTY, who scored stylishly on debut over this track and trip. He rises in grade and has an awkward draw, but there was some depth to the field he beat that day and he posted the best final-400m (22.38) at the meeting. He drops to 52.5kg here and will be a great chance to score. SMART CHARADE comes through a decent form race (559) won by Green Card (Planet Star ran second and won during the week) and he should be working home strongly from a handy draw. SMART LEADER was very good in that race also and can run well at a good price. He maps very well and is ready to win. CHAMPION PRIDE might strip a little fitter for one run back over 1000m, where he put in a respectable performance to finish fifth. His win in the UK before arrival came over 1216m, so given he’s had time in Hong Kong now the rise in distance should suit him. Whilst Dan Control is the horse to beat, the best betting propositions looking to be GOLDEN SIXTY and SMART LEADER.

selections


13 GOLDEN SIXTY

(rp – $4.00)

1st @ $2.90 & $1.25 ($4.60 best corporate)

1 DAN CONTROL

(rp – $3.20)

6th

10 SMART LEADER

(rp – $7.00)

3rd @ $1.75p

12 SMART CHARADE

(rp – $8.50)

7th

strategy


13 GOLDEN SIXTY

WIN (4 units)

10 SMART LEADER

WIN (2.5 units)

speed


SMART LEADER can set the speed here from CALIFORNIA TURBO and DAN CONTROL. AEROHAPPINESS might be able to take closer order than recently from the draw and BABY can also settle in the first half of the field.