R8 SEOUL HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M66) - Wednesday, 24 April 2019

22:50 HK TIME

summary


The last is an interesting race with a couple of horses that must be respected, but who look a touch over-bet in the early proceedings. FRUSTRATED takes a rise in grade following back-to-back wins and this speedy son of All Too Hard can take advantage of his light weight on a fast pace and take some catching. There is some speed drawn inside him, but he has been impressive winning his last two starts having had all favours. Last start winner DREAM COME TRUE beat FAIRY TWINS and MEGA HEART last time and, in theory, you could make decent cases for all three horses. Dream Come True should land in the lead easily enough and only carries 2kg extra for that last win. Fairy Twins can map closer and the manner in which he closed last time suggests he could easily post a win and tonight’s rider Joao Moreira has won aboard him before. If they overdo the pressure up front then Mega Heart should be powering home. The newcomer, YEE CHEONG BABY, formerly known as Neutrality in Australia, can boast a second to Group race-performer Graff as a two-year-old. His recent 1200m trial at Happy Valley was highly impressive, but having to carry top weight in a field with an abundance of pace will be a real baptism of fire and I prefer to let horses with profiles like his ‘go around’ without my money and hopefully his popularity in the market will provide some opportunities. So at their prices small outlays on Dream Come True and Fairy Twins is the way I’ll be approaching the last.

selections


9 FRUSTRATED

(rp – $3.00)

8th

3 DREAM COME TRUE

(rp – $6.50)

9th

6 FAIRY TWINS

(rp – $8.00)

5th

11 MEGA HEART

(rp – $12.00)

7th

strategy


3 DREAM COME TRUE

WIN (2.5 units)

6 FAIRY TWINS

WIN (2 units)

speed


There looks like there will be decent speed in this race with DREAM COME TRUE leading from YEE CHEONG BABY and FRUSTRATED. SPACE can secure a trail and I expect that Moreira will have FAIRY TWINS travelling just behind these horses.