R4 INCHEON HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M66) - Wednesday, 24 April 2019

20:45 HK TIME

summary


LE TERRIOR has the best form leading in to this fourth event and he is a leading win chance, but from the wide gate (11) he has some task ahead of him. They might ride him a little more conservatively this time and he has shown a good turn of foot when that is the case. So he deserves to be favourite, but it’s hard to be overly confident about his winning chances (and thus take too short a quote) with some uncertainty from the barrier. JUMBO PRIZE ran okay on debut in a poor rating race for the grade but he has moved well in a recent trial and might improve, although he sported blinkers in that trial and they aren’t being used tonight. The best option at a decent price here might be WONDERFUL JOURNEY. He too has drawn high but he can work forward and is a three-time winner over the course and distance. If he isn’t caught wide, then he might take some catching. PLAY WISE comes back in trip, which isn’t ideal, but the booking of Joao Moreira is a positive and he can run well. If the leaders overdo things, then it could set up for him to swoop into the finish. An each way outlay on Wonderful Journey is the way I’m happy playing here.

selections


11 LE TERROIR

(rp – $3.50)

1st @ $2.70 & $1.35 ($2.80 best corporate)

2 WONDERFUL JOURNEY

(rp – $6.50)

5th

5 JUMBO PRIZE

(rp – $6.50)

2nd @ $1.50p (quinella with 11 @ $4.95)

1 PLAY WISE

(rp – $10.00)

8th

strategy


2 WONDERFUL JOURNEY

WIN & PLACE (1.5 x 3 units)

speed


I expect the pace to be GOOD here with TAKINGUFURTHER being the primary pacesetter. SUPER MODEL, WONDERFUL JOURNEY and JUMBO PRIZE are others that can be ridden for early speed from FORTUNE BUDDY and LE TERROIR.