R3 KOWLOON BAY HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M64) - Wednesday, 17 April 2019

20:15 HK TIME

summary


A small field presents itself here and I’m not overly keen on playing in this one. WALDORF is a deserved favourite, he has been running well for some time and got another deserved win at his last start. However, extra weight and luck in running will not make it easy for him. There is some early speed around Waldorf that could see him locked up three-back on the fence. MOST BEAUTIFUL finished seventh to him and on weights and measures can close that gap. FEARLESS FIRE is good enough to win this event, although they will need some luck from the outside gate. His racing pattern is indeed problematical for his winning chances. That said, the smaller field might help his cause, especially if the favourite is locked away behind runners. NOBLE DELIGHT has been a beaten favourite on his last two starts and I haven’t seen too many excuses. Nonetheless, he will get a good run here and can run okay again. NORDIC WARRIOR won a race in China, but his form prior was solid and he too has solid claims in an even race.

selections


2 WALDORF

(rp – $4.00)

1st @ $2.40 & $1.15 ($2.70 best corporate)

5 NORDIC WARRIOR

(rp – $4.50)

4th

8 NOBLE DELIGHT

(rp – $6.00)

5th

3 FEARLESS FIRE

(rp – $7.00)

6th

4 MOST BEAUTIFUL

(rp – $10.00)

2nd @ $2.50p (quinella with 2 @ $10.75)

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly.

speed


After initial positioning, there doesn’t look like there’ll be much pace here. FANTASTIC FABIO can lead from STARLIT KNIGHT and MOST BEAUTIFUL. NOBLE DELIGHT might secure a good spot in the running following these horses with WALDORF close by.