best selections and strategies


Happy Valley (M64) - Wednesday, 17 April 2019

25 units Strategy

best outlay


RACE 5

5 ENDEARING (rp – $3.00) 

WIN (6 units)

ENDEARING rates as the horse to beat here according to my assessment and is my best of the night. He can be positioned on the speed and can run far better than his early market price suggests.

Result: 1st @ $6.00 best corporate (+30 units)

NEXT BEST OUTLAYS


RACE 4

5 MR DARTHVEGAR (rp – $4.80)

WIN (3 units) 

10 YEE CHEONG PEGASUS (rp – $6.00)

WIN (2 units)

In the fourth race there are two horses that can outperform market expectation. MR DARTHVEGAR probably could have won last start if a few more things went his way and gets Moreira to help get more out of him. YEE CHEONG PEGASUS maps to get a run just behind the main speed and with a little luck in the running he can fight out the finish.

Result: 2nd (-3 units) + 10th (-2 units) -> (-5 units)

Each way outlays


RACE 8

12 CINQUANTE CINQ (rp – $4.00) 

WIN (3 units) & PLACE (5 units)

I have been impressed with CINQUANTE CINQ’S progression so far in Hong Kong and his last start win was good. Whilst the expected map for the race isn’t necessarily ideal he has displayed a good turn of foot which can help him overcome others in the event.

Result: 2nd @ $6.00 & $2.25 best corporate (-3 units)(+6.25 units) -> (+3.25 units)

RACE 7

4 MR SO AND SO (rp – $4.50) 

WIN (2 units) PLACE (4 units)

MR SO AND SO comes back from the Derby and competes over a trip that is more suitable. Off his performance in the Classic Mile he is certainly a contender here and will be so at a great price.

Result: 9th (-2 units)(-4 units) -> (-6 units)

Overall result for 25 units strategy


+22.25 UNITS  (89% PROFIT)

The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.

Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.

Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.

Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.

So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!

Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.

Cheers