R3 CRYSTAL HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M63) - Sunday, 14 April 2019

13:30 HK TIME

summary


There are plenty of unknowns in this event with so many of the entrants lightly raced (five horses on debut and six others having their second start). That said, the trials of AQUILA have been impressive and he looks a natural runner. However, in the early market he has come up very short and I’m not convinced diving into a short price is the way to go. SUNSHINE UNIVERSE has had the experience and although beaten a fair margin last time (7-lengths behind Voyage Warrior) he was still sound and he is proven down the straight. In addition the blinkers go back on and he looks well weighted with the apprentice Chan’s 4.5kg claim. WINNING WAYS comes through the same form reference and is also drawn to advantage. The trial down the straight course from ISLAND WINNER was encouraging and it would be no surprise if he ran a good race at nice odds. Overall it’s a race (and type of race) where outlaying big units isn’t recommended, use my prices accordingly, even though they can’t be presented with high confidence.

selections


3 SUNSHINE UNIVERSE

(rp – $5.00)

4th

4 AQUILA

(rp – $3.00)

2nd @ $1.05p

1 WINNING WAYS

(rp – $6.00)

7th

9 ISLAND WINNER

(rp – $10.00)

5th

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly.

speed


AQUILA can lead this event from ISLAND WINNER and GREAT FIT. VALIANT DREAM, MARVELOUS WORLD and OLD HAVANA can park right behind what should be at least a GOOD speed.