best selections and strategies

Happy Valley (M62) - Wednesday, 10 April 2019

21 units Strategy

best outlay


8 TRUE GRIT (rp – $3.50) 

WIN (5 units) 

3 with 8 


TRUE GRIT is the best of the evening and although he’s spent some time off the race track he’s been well prepared by John Size with five trials in the last in the past eight weeks. A couple of his runs from last prep rated highly for here and he maps to get a great run during the race. ALPHA HEDGE also rates well and it’s worth taking a quinella place / duet with them together.

Results: 1st @ $3.40 best corporate (+12 units) + QP/Duet with 3 @ $2.80 (+2.7 units) -> (+14.7 units)



2 RULETHEROOST (rp – $4.00)

WIN (3.5 units)

4 SALTO OLIMPICO (rp – $4.80)

WIN (3 units)

Two horses that are well-priced according to my assessment are RULETHEROOST and SALTO OLIMPICO. The former can get a good trail behind the latter and I expect both horses to be amongst those to fight out the finish.

Results: 1st @ $3.80 best corporate (+9.8 units) + 3rd (-3 units) -> (+6.8 units) 

each way outlays


6 GREAT SON (rp – $3.50) 

WIN (2 units) PLACE (4 units)

In the opening race GREAT SON is capable of sitting handy and running well. His last start Sha Tin performance suggested that he is ready to break his maiden tag and looks an ideal each way betting proposition.

Result: 1st @ $7.00 & $2.10 best corporate (+12 units)(+4.4 units) -> (+16.4 units)


11 NATURAL FLARE (rp – $18.00) 

WIN (0.5 unit) PLACE (1.5 units)

NATURAL FLARE is coming off a Class 5 win which had some merit too it. He has been frustrating on a win line, but he has looked more than competitive in Class 4 in the past and he can get some of the money here. It’s not a big outlay but it’s a worthwhile one at massive odds.

Result: 5th (-0.5 units)(-1.5 units) -> (-2 units)

Overall result for 21 unit strategy

+35.9 UNITS  (171% PROFIT)

The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.

Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.

Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.

Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.

So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!

Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.