R9 HARLECH HANDICAP

-


Sha Tin (M61) - Sunday, 7 April 2019

17:10 HK TIME

summary


This race has the recipe for an upset. A number of Hong Kong Derby runners back-up here under handicap conditions which give a number of horses a chance to turn the tables on those that were more fancied in the Derby. WAIKUKU is the best horse in the race and I’m sure even with the weight he will run well, although the wide gate isn’t ideal. He might be over bet with the public however and it’s difficult to recommend backing here. The tactics Moreira employs from barrier 12 will be significant of course, but it should be a race run more genuinely than the four-year-old blue riband. That’s what makes assessing the form problematical. There wasn’t much over a number of horses at the finish of the Derby, but because it was a sit-sprint race, it’s not so easy to get a clear line on each horse’s potential. DARK DREAM is better drawn, meets Waikuku better at the weights and should get every chance to finish ahead of him. Dark Dream had a tough run in the Derby and fought on okay. There are plenty of other genuine chances on weights and measures. TIANCHI MONSTER is clearly capable as he has won two from three over the course and distance and was beaten under three lengths in the Derby. He receives 9kg from Waikuku this time! HELENE LEADINGSTAR and ENRICHMENT might be ridden more positively today and that should enhance their chances. HO HO KHAN ran well in the Derby and can finish into the race late. This race is a real puzzle though and I suggest you play with caution and shop prices accordingly. Dark Dream is my on top “lead”.

selections


4 DARK DREAM

(rp – $3.70)

1st @ $3.40 & $1.40 ($4.00 best corporate)

2 WAIKUKU

(rp – $4.50)

7th

6 HO HO KHAN

(rp – $9.00)

3rd @ $2.45p

14 TIANCHI MONSTER

(rp – $9.00)

10th

5 HELENE LEADINGSTAR

(rp – $10.00)

6th

8 ENRICHMENT

(rp – $20.00)

14th

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

USE PRICES ACCORDINGLY

speed


This should be run at a GOOD pace as I believe some of the four-year-olds that sat back in the Derby are more likely to press forward here. They include ENRICHMENT and HELENE LEADINGSTAR. GLORIOUS ARTIST can lead from INSAYSHABLE and DARK DREAM can find a good position from barrier 5.