R7 HIN YIU HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M60) - Wednesday, 3 April 2019

22:15 HK TIME

summary


This is a race to play into and outside of the favourite as well. The likely market-elect and short-priced commodity will be WINNER SUPREME, who blitzed his rivals over 1,200m on this surface last time in a better time than SIMPLY BIG managed on the same day. That said, it was a sloppy track and whilst the win of Winner Supreme rated better, it was always going to with a faster first two sections. He will be hard to beat again, but to me eye he was empty late and Simply Big on a more typical dirt surface might be better suited and with a ‘postage stamp’ on his back, can overhaul the likely favourite. Ultimately, there shouldn’t be much between them, but I think the market will be lopsided so we have to have a go on Simply Big and Alfred Chan. I’m not sure that there is much need to look beyond these two, but if they bust each other up on pace then NUCLEAR POWER should be rattling home and into the finish.

selections


9 SIMPLY BIG

(rp – $2.80)

2nd @ $1.35p (quinella with 7 @ $3.80)

7 WINNER SUPREME

(rp – $3.00)

1st @ $1.80 & $1.10 ($1.90 best corporate)

6 NUCLEAR POWER

(rp – $18.00)

6th

strategy


9 SIMPLY BIG

WIN (4.5 units)

speed


WINNER SUPREME and SIMPLY BIG will be the leaders here, although given both are apprentice-ridden it’s not straightforward knowing quite how fast they’ll go. I expect that it’ll be a tempo on the FAST side of GOOD. BABY is drawn to take a trail and BLITZING might also go forward.