R7 POTTINGER PEAK HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M58) - Wednesday, 27 March 2019

22:15 HK TIME

summary


It’s pretty hard to be overly confident about any one runner in this race. There is plenty of pace and probably getting the map right will go a long way to finding the winner. LITTLE BIRD is probably the safe play. He was brave when eyeballed last time over the track and trip and Zac Purton has the option to put him in the box seat here if he needs to. He’s short enough however. MUSIC ADDITION’S wins have rated highly enough to win this and he too might land in a good spot. There are few knocks on him; it’ll just be up to Poon to secure the right trip. MOMENT OF POWER is a dangerous one to ignore given he can lead at pace and any pattern on the C+3 course suiting leaders is only going to play in his favour. I would think BREEDERS’ STAR will find the 1,000m on the sharp side but his last win rated okay and he did beat a subsequent winner in Blitzing. If they go a silly speed up front he can certainly swoop late and pick up the pieces. I’m not keen to label anything here and recommend that you use my prices accordingly.

selections


6 LITTLE BIRD

(rp – $3.50)

2nd @ $1.20p (quinella with 7 @ $9.90)

3 MUSIC ADDITION

(rp – $4.50)

5th

7 MOMENT OF POWER

(rp – $8.00)

1st @ $11.00 & $2.90

11 BREEDERS’ STAR

(rp – $14.00)

8th

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly.

speed


MOMENT OF POWER can lead here from FABULOUS ONE and the speed should be on the FAST side of GOOD. LITTLE BIRD and MUSIC ADDITION also have speed with CALIFORNIA ARCHER.