R6 NAM LONG SHAN HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M58) - Wednesday, 27 March 2019

21:45 HK TIME

summary


I can’t say that I’m overly keen on this race. STRATHCLYDE is a limited galloper but he might get the right trip in this event and if he runs up to his recent form then he should be able to feature in the finish. The key for him will be to sit outside the leader and control the pace of the race from there. NOBLE DELIGHT has come up to short again and he does map well which give him another good chance to win. That said, he’s very short in early betting and I can’t rate him as the market has. FEARLESS FIRE has the best figures leading in to this event but I’m not sure where he ends up from a wide draw. The freshen-up and drop back to this trip might help and he should be kept safe even though he’ll be making his run from well back in the field in all likelihood. HANDSOME REBEL has drawn 10 or worse on his last three starts but has run well on every occasion and he looks capable, but with the rail in this position and from his gate, it will be a tough ask. There was a fair amount of merit to the run of JOYFUL UNION last time. He is now third-up and the booking of Zac Purton makes appeal. I’m happy to tread cautiously here and have a ‘low confidence’ small each way on Strathclyde.

selections


11 STRATHCLYDE

(rp – $5.00)

9th

12 NOBLE DELIGHT

(rp – $4.80)

3rd @ $1.55p (trifecta/tierce with 4 & 7 @ $63.30)

4 JOYFUL UNION

(rp – $6.50)

1st @ $4.20 & $1.80

7 FEARLESS FIRE

(rp – $8.00)

2nd @ $1.75 (quinella with 4 @ $14.25)

strategy


11 STRATHCLYDE

WIN & PLACE

speed


FORZA ANGEL can lead this race and STRATHCLYDE can sit outside him with the tempo set likely to no faster than GOOD. JOYFUL UNION can trail with NOBLE DELIGHT also likely to be ideally situated from their handy draws.