R5 MOUNT COLLINSON HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M58) - Wednesday, 27 March 2019

21:15 HK TIME

summary


John Moore holds the key to this event with the two main contenders, HELENE CHARISMA and HAPPY DRAGON. The market might overplay the chances of Helene Charisma with Purton on board again and whilst he will appreciate the 2,200m and the likely tempo, ultimately he has won one race from 32 in Hong Kong. Happy Dragon is a nice progressive galloper, he was positioned close enough to a solid speed last time when he prevailed over 1,800m and that’s why he might have looked vulnerable late. The form out of that race has worked out well with Brave Legend and Lucky Girl winning with Harmony Hero and Vigor Fame finishing second. Happy Dragon can win again although there might be a little query on his stamina if they run it hard. VIGOR FAME went too hard in the lead last time and although he might get some pressure again, Joao Moreira takes over the reins and he can run well. HAPPY SEBRING appears to be crying out for this journey and if the pace is too quick, he will be running over the top of them late. Happy Dragon is worth an each way bet at his price. If taking a quaddie don’t leave out Vigor Fame.

selections


2 HAPPY DRAGON

(rp – $6.50)

3rd @ $2.35p

4 HELENE CHARISMA

(rp – $4.00)

1st @ $2.40 & $1.30

12 VIGOR FAME

(rp – $7.00)

8th

11 HAPPY SEBRING

(rp – $7.50)

4th

strategy


2 HAPPY DRAGON

WIN & PLACE (1.5 x 3)

speed


VIGOR FAME can lead this race from GIANT TURTLE at what should be a GOOD speed overall, although with JOLLY GENE scratched there might be even less pressure on this pair. TASHIDELEK and HAPPY DRAGON map to sit just behind them with CLASSIC BEAUTY a chance to be ridden positively early.