R8 GASCOIGNE HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M57) - Sunday, 24 March 2019

16:40 HK TIME

summary


There aren’t many horses that I fancy as being genuine chances to win this event. HONEST WAY has finished second to Beauty Way on his last two starts so it is easy to make a case for him. Those races rated well and he could easily post another victory. His pattern has hindered him from winning more races, as needing to settle early before sprinting late always requires a couple more things to go your way than normal. FLYING THUNDER clocked the best final-400m (22.12) at the meeting on March 2 at what was only his third local start and he looks ready to win. The form hasn’t worked out that well from that race (466), but his run was rock solid in itself. In a thin contest, HOME RUN could potentially cause an upset. The drop-back to 1,200m considering he is on a mark of 62 would suggest connections might be looking for a drop in grade, but he is a talent and his last three runs have rated well enough for him to go close with a repeat on this occasion. Those three chances all normally settle midfield or worse, which isn’t as much the case for DIAMOND KING who comes through that Beauty Way form. He will strip fitter effectively being second-up, which is a stat that he has a good record (6:1-1-1), but the key here might be the map and the ability for Derek Leung to slot him just in behind the leaders in the race. If he can, then he looks way to big a price and is worth a small win outlay.

selections


4 DIAMOND KING

(rp – $6.50)

6th

5 HONEST WAY

(rp – $3.80)

1st @ $2.75 & $1.15 ($3.00 best corporate)

1 FLYING THUNDER

(rp – $4.00)

2nd @ $1.20p (quinella with 5 @ $3.35)

10 HOME RUN

(rp – $10.00)

4th

strategy


4 DIAMOND KING

WIN & PLACE

speed


FANTASTIC FABIO can lead this race from SMART LEADER and THE ABRAXAS. DIAMOND KING has an awkward draw but can work across to a good position with a savvy ride.


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