R5 JORDAN HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M57) - Sunday, 24 March 2019

15:05 HK TIME

summary


The horse to beat in this event is MONICA. He was excellent last time over the course and distance when he was checked at the start can basically the race ended for him there. But Monica stuck to his guns well, posted some solid closing fractions and with a better run in transit here (including a fair start), he should be hardest to beat. There will be some value in the quinella with VITAL SPRING. He will strip fitter for his returning run, where he clearly peaked inside the final 150m, but he still ran well-enough to suggest he could be followed in the future. Vital Spring will just need some luck in the running given he is jumping from barrier 10. WIN WIN had excuses when covering ground last time but his effort prior reads well when narrowly beaten by Splendour And Gold, who won impressively again on Hong Kong Derby Day last weekend. BAND OF BROTHERS will no doubt appreciate Sha Tin and the step up in distance, but the outside draw makes it hard to be confident of a win from him. Monica is the main outlay here to win, with Vital Spring worth a smaller outlay and quinella place / duet with Monica.

selections


2 MONICA

(rp – $3.80)

10th

11 VITAL SPRING

(rp – $9.00)

9th

1 WIN WIN

(rp – $7.50)

2nd @ $2.40p (quinella with 3 @ $21.45)

3 BAND OF BROTHERS

(rp – $9.00)

1st @ $6.35 & $2.85 ($7.00 best corporate)

strategy


2 MONICA

WIN (5 units)

11 VITAL SPRING

WIN (1 unit)

2 with 11

QUINELLA PLACE / DUET (1 unit)

speed


I don’t expect there to be an abundance of speed here with IRON BRAVO a possible leader from CAPTAIN BOSS and RED HORSE. MONICA maps to get a great run behind these if he gets away cleanly with VITAL SPRING.


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