R7 AMBITIOUS DRAGON HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M55) - Sunday, 17 March 2019

16:00 HK TIME

summary


It is pretty hard to take on FULL OF BEAUTY who is bidding to post his fifth consecutive victory in this, his first preparation. He rises in grade but drops in weight (2.5kg) and his figures suggest he can win again. That said, there is some decent opposition in this one and you’d want to be a bit wary taking the long-odds-on price he’s likely to be. I couldn’t mark him as short as the market will have him though however I don’t want to make a really strong play against him either. SUPER HOPPY was ridden too close last time but could bounce back with a more conservative ride. He’s a bit of a trick as when he’s used to hold valuable position early he just doesn’t seem to be able to finish his races off as effectively. FLAT HEAVEN posted some pretty good numbers when scoring at the city circuit last time and I expect that a Sha Tin sprint would suit him every bit as much. This is all about the favourite and how low do you go? Personally I’d be inclined to watch, if you want to bet, then bet small.

selections


5 FULL OF BEAUTY

(rp – $1.65)

1st @ $1.30 & $1.05 ($1.40 best corporate)

3 SUPER HOPPY

(rp – $16.00)

7th

4 FLAT HEAVEN

(rp – $16.00)

9th

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly

speed


The pace should be genuine here with WAH MAY FRIEND, UGLY WARRIOR and STIMULATION all able to contest the lead here. FULL OF BEAUTY is drawn barrier 10 but has tactical speed and might even slot-in just behind the leaders.


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