R8 MATHESON HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M54) - Wednesday, 13 March 2019

22:50 HK TIME

summary


SPARKLING DRAGON is easy to make a case for following his third to subsequent winner Full Of Beauty. He is probably better leading on his own right but he is a winner here at the Valley and he looks the horse to beat in the final event. Sparkling Dragon doesn’t need to improve on his overall form and this is clearly a weaker test for him. I am not sure how much faith to put in the race (438) that LOVING A BOOM finished second to Speed Vision in, but if he runs to that mark then he should prove competitive and the horse for Sparkling Dragon to beat. I have my doubts about that form though and the ratings derived from the race. ALCARI backs-up from last week and then ran well in defeat. He would have won in another bound and strikes a similar field. SPLIT OF A SECOND needs to raise the bar a touch now, but can fill a minor spot. Overall though Sparkling Dragon is my best and you’ll get an excellent price by the looks of the early market with a spruik around FAT TURTLE, a Frankie Lor debutant that Zac Purton is riding. He’s trialled up well and has shown speed, although race pressure is different to trial pressure.

selections


8 SPARKLING DRAGON

(rp – $3.80)

3rd @ $2.10p (trifecta/tierce with 4 & 12 @ $184.10)

5 LOVING A BOOM

(rp – $5.50)

9th

4 FAT TURTLE

(rp – $6.50)

1st @ $3.60 & $1.65 ($4.50 best corporate)

6 ALCARI

(rp – $6.50)

7th

12 SPLIT OF A SECOND

(rp – $10.00)

2nd @ $2.20p (quinella with 4 @ $18.75)

strategy


8 SPARKLING DRAGON

WIN (6 units)

speed


SPARKLING DRAGON can lead at a GOOD speed overall from CHEERFULJET. VICTORY MACHINE can go forward with ALCARI and FANTASTIC FABIO positioned just behind them. FAT TURTLE can get a good camp off the speed.