R7 KALANCHOE HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M53) - Sunday, 10 March 2019

15:35 HK TIME

summary


It was hard not to be impressed by SIMPLY BIG and the manner in which he won a recent all-weather trial when spacing his rivals whilst being placed under very little pressure and clocking a very good time. He might be able to lead all the way jumping from barrier 2 and considering he performed well on the artificial surface in the UK, he looks spot on for this assignment. SILVER FIG won his only race outing back in February last year and obviously has had his issues, but his recent all-weather trial was solid also and he does have upside. TOM’S DRAGON’S second to Mr Right rated quite well and although this is his first attempt on the surface, he is worth including in exotics. He’ll need a touch of luck from the draw but is certainly capable. EVER STRONG should be kept safe too, as he hit the line with a race-best final-200m (11.76) in a good form race won by Coby Oppa and could easily hit the frame, again with just a little luck getting a position from his barrier. Happy to be with Simply Big primarily though – he’s one of the best bets of the afternoon.

selections


3 SIMPLY BIG

(rp – $2.50)

1st @ $2.25 & $1.10 ($3.20 best corporate)

10 TOM’S DRAGON

(rp – $5.00)

3rd @ $2.70p (trifecta/tierce with 2 & 2 @ $70.10)

7 EVER STRONG

(rp – $8.00)

9th

2 SILVER FIG

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $2.00p (quinella with 3 @ $6.90)

strategy


3 SIMPLY BIG

WIN (6.5 units)

3 with 7 & 10

QUINELLA (0.75 units each, 1.5 units total)

speed


SIMPLY BIG can lead at a GOOD speed overall with some pressure for the front coming from FLYING GODSPELL, BORNTOACHIEVE and STAR SUPERIOR. EVER STRONG and TOM’S DRAGON can position just behind the leaders, it’ll just be a question of how wide they’ll be.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)