ANALYSIS – Sunday, 10 March 2019

best selections and strategies

Sha Tin (M53) - Sunday, 10 March 2019

Best Bets HH Live Race 1 Race 2 Race 3 Race 4 Race 5 Race 6 Race 7 Race 8 Race 9 Race 10 Race 11

23 units Strategy

best outlays

RACE 10

6 CHAMPION’S WAY(rp – $2.40)

WIN (8 units)

6 with 3 and 11

QUINELLA (1 unit each, 2 units total)

CHAMPION’S WAY has impressed me with how he has won his two career starts to date at Happy Valley. He has drawn a wide barrier, which makes things tricky for Regan Bayliss, however if he can obtain some cover behind the main speed I’m confident he can deliver a powerful, and winning sprint in the straight. HARD PROMISE will run well on the lead and SOLAR WAI WAI can hit the line well also. They present good quinella options with Champion’s Way.

Results: 1st @ $3.10 best corporate (+16.8 units) + 2nd, quinella @ $5.75 & 11th (+3.75 units) -> (+20.55 units)

NEXT BEST OUTLAYS

RACE 7

3 SIMPLY BIG (rp – $2.50)

WIN (6.5 units)

3 with 7 & 10

QUINELLA (0.75 units each, 1.5 units total)

SIMPLY BIG has worked superbly leading into this event and I expect him to be ridden to lead on the rail. Following an outstanding recent trial he looks to be well prepped and set to win this dirt race. EVER STRONG looks too big in the market along with TOM’S DRAGON, once again they can run well and are both worth taking in a quinella alongside Simply Big.

Results: 1st @ $3.20 best corporate (+14.3 units) + 3rd & 9th (-1.5 units) -> (+12.8 units)

RACE 4

9 FUN TIMES (rp – $2.70)

WIN (5 units)

In the fourth race FUN TIMES looks well-placed and ready to win. He rates well clear of his rivals off his recent performances and with just a touch of luck in the running should get the job done. There’s not huge speed in the race but de Sousa should be able to tuck the horse just behind the leaders before launching his run in the straight.

Result: 4th (-5 units)

Overall result for 23 units strategy

+28.35 UNITS (123% PROFIT)

The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.

Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.

Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.

Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.

So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!

Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.

Cheers

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