R7 FENWICK HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M52) - Wednesday, 6 March 2019

22:15 HK TIME

summary


This is shaping up as a race where it is right to speculate on a couple of runners at good odds. E MASTER and GALLANT RETURN will be somewhat opposed by the market in part because of their wide draws, but each has been in cracking form. E Master won in good style with top weight over the minimum trip at the city course last start and with 6kg less to carry here, then with a touch of luck from a wide gate he should go pretty close. Gallant Return comes through the Right Choice formline, which is strong, and his run prior to that at Happy Valley was most eye-catching. Granted, it won’t be easy for these two as WALDORF has finally drawn a gate, although he doesn’t possess a great deal of initial mustering speed. Nonetheless, he remains a solid chance along with SPECIAL STARS and COBY OPPA. The latter was very impressive when making every post a winner on the all-weather and is drawn to get a similar run. Special Stars maps well, but is short-enough. Overall I’m happy to have small outlays on E Master and Gallant Return and there’s value in taking part-unit quinellas with them and the other main chances in the race.

selections


8 E MASTER

(rp – $7.50)

10th

9 GALLANT RETURN

(rp – $8.00)

6th

10 COBY OPPA

(rp – $4.80)

4th

4 SPECIAL STARS

(rp – $5.50)

7th

7 WALDORF

(rp – $7.00)

3rd @ $1.30p

strategy


8 E MASTER

WIN (2 units)

9 GALLANT RETURN

WIN (2 units)

8 with 4, 7, 9, 10

QUINELLA (0.5 units each, 2 total)

9 with 4, 7, 8, 10

QUINELLA (0.5 units each, 2 total)

speed


The pace should be genuine here with COBY OPPA the best chance to lead from DREAM COME TRUE and E MASTER. RELENTLESS ME can go forward from SPECIAL STARS. WALDORF might find himself three-back the fence even though he’s drawn in.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)