R5 GLOUCESTER HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M52) - Wednesday, 6 March 2019

21:15 HK TIME

summary


The best ride probably wins this race, with not much between the ratings of a number of them. For that reason, I won’t be recommending a strategy early on, outlay small and use my prices accordingly. It is hard to fault the form of HAR HAR HEART who continues to race well, but keeps creeping up the ratings as a consequence and that doesn’t make it any easier for him to win. He will settle closer here from barrier 5 and is the leading chance but simply looks unappealing at his early price. RACING LUCK beat Har Har Heart earlier this year and has to be given claims to win another one. He’s drawn awkwardly for apprentice Mo, so that’s a slight query, interestingly though he’s 1.5kg better off at the weights than Har Har Heart from Race 328! The solid tempo didn’t suit RIGHT HONOURABLE last time but generally speaking his form this preparation has been rock solid and he can bounce back. TOP LAURELS has been ready to win for a while now, but ultimately in Hong Kong he is one win from 19 starts, which highlights how frustrating he’s been to back. That said, his best is good enough. SUMSTREETSUMWHERE comes out of my SID reviews and he hit the line well against the pattern last start. Three back he ran a race that underscored his competitiveness for tonight. It’s an open race.

From Sweet In Defeat:

SUMSTREETSUMWHERE

selections


3 HAR HAR HEART

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $1.25p (quinella with 7 @ $5.40)

5 RACING LUCK

(rp – $6.00)

10th

4 TOP LAURELS

(rp – $6.50)

8th

7 SUMSTREETSUMWHERE

(rp – $7.50)

1st @ $3.55 & $1.55 ($8.00 best corporate)

6 RIGHT HONOURABLE

(rp – $7.50)

5th

strategy


NO STRATEGY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly.

speed


CHEERFUL BOY and THUNDER STOMP should ensure at least a GOOD speed here with RIGHT HONOURABLE and TOP LAURELS able to find good positions with positive rides. SUMSTREETSUMWHERE should get an economical run around midfield on the rail.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)