R8 TSUEN WAN HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M48) - Wednesday, 20 February 2019

22:50 HK TIME

summary


I can’t find an outright leader here and there is a strong chance of very little pace during this race. That might play in to the hands of ARCADA who can settle handy with his last couple of runs at the city course having been pretty decent. This looks a good chance for him to shrug his maiden tag in Hong Kong. That said, PENANG HALL looks to be a play here at longer odds. This will effectively be his fourth run this preparation and he has had excuses on his last two starts. He lacks tactical speed, which always makes it tough for him, but that might be offset a fraction by barrier 1. HAR HAR HEART comes through the same form line and he has been holding his form well, but he’s likely to be under the odds with Size and Purton combining. ALL YOU KNOW and WARM THE VOICE can also run well based on recent form, with the latter probably looking for a bit more ground now. I’m happy to outlay on Penang Hall though and a big value price.

selections


9 ARCADA

(rp – $3.00)

1st @ $2.25 & $1.25 ($3.00 best corporate)

8 PENANG HALL

(rp – $6.00)

4th (first-four/quartet with 9, 3 & 11 @ $303.60)

3 HAR HAR HEART

(rp – $7.00)

2nd @ $2.15p (quinella with 9 @ $8.25)

11 ALL YOU KNOW

(rp – $9.00)

3rd @ $2.00p (trifecta/tierce with 9 & 3 @ $41.20)

strategy


8 PENANG HALL

WIN & PLACE (2 x 4)

speed


I don’t expect much speed here with possible leaders being ARCADA, THUNDER STOMP and CIRCUIT HASSLER. LET’S TAKE IT EASY could settle close to the front with PENANG HALL settling around midfield.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)