R4 CITI ULTIMA CARD HANDICAP

-


Sha Tin (M47) - Sunday, 17 February 2019

14:30 HK TIME

summary


There is not much pace in this event and it might help HARD PROMISE who can attain an uncontested lead. He finished alongside the likely favourite AEROHAPPINESS last time and battled to the line relatively well. Hard Promise’s overall form this preparation has been sound and I wouldn’t have much between him and Aerohappiness this time either. Joao Moreira might be happy to roll forward on Aerohappiness with a lack of speed in this event, and that being the case, he will be hard to hold out. But once again, I couldn’t take a quote shorter than $3.00. FIRST RESPONDER promotes some interest as he was sound on his debut and will no doubt strip fitter for the run. In addition, he will get a soft trip from a good barrier. LUCKY HERO has been competing in stronger races than this and shouldn’t be far away. Going off the early prices, there isn’t a great deal of advantage over the market. I’d like to be on Hard Promise at better than $4.50 and it looks like a small outlay on First Responder could be worthwhile.

selections


11 AEROHAPPINESS

(rp – $3.00)

9th

5 HARD PROMISE

(rp – $4.50)

1st @ $2.55 & $1.30 ($3.40 best corporate)

6 LUCKY HERO

(rp – $6.50)

2nd @ $1.35p (quinella with 5 @ $5.20)

10 FIRST RESPONDER

(rp – $8.00)

4th

strategy


5 HARD PROMISE

WIN (small units)

10 FIRST RESPONDER

WIN (small units)

speed


HARD PROMISE appears as though he’ll be the uncontested leader from THE ABRAXAS and AEROHAPPINESS. MANNA FROM HEAVEN can secure an economical trip from barrier 4 ahead of DALRADIAN and FIRST RESPONDER.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)