R10 CITI MORTGAGE SERVICES HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M47) - Sunday, 17 February 2019

17:50 HK TIME

summary


This is a competitive final event. A good case can be made for PICKEN, RACING FIGHTER, and GRADE ONE. Picken has won three of his last four starts and remains competitively weighted, but he will need a touch of luck from a middle draw. He could easily win again; he just looks a touch too short for mine. Racing Fighter comes through a solid race when second to subsequent winner Right Choice (the same race as Happy Force ) and perhaps that galloper can give us a lead here. Racing Fighter will need some luck from a wide gate which is a concern. There was no fluke about the last start win of Grade One and perhaps depending on how Aerohappiness performs earlier on the card we’ll also get some sort of lead. These seem the main three chances, and looking at the early prices, it is clear that Grade One has to be an each way play. FLYING THUNDER made his debut in the race won by Grade One, clearly peaking on his run on that occasion, and that was after missing the start. He too might be worth a smaller play if you get the right price.

selections


11 GRADE ONE

(rp – $6.00)

3rd @ $4.60p

10 PICKEN

(rp – $4.50)

7th

6 RACING FIGHTER

(rp – $7.50)

2nd @ $1.95p

1 FLYING THUNDER

(rp – $11.00)

9th

strategy


11 GRADE ONE

WIN & PLACE (2 x 4)

11 with 10 & 6

QUINELLA (1 unit each, 2 units total)

speed


SMART LEADER can take up the running from RELENTLESS ME. PICKEN is drawn out a touch but I expect Moreira to ride him positively. STARLIT KNIGHT and ALCARI can find themselves situated behind the leaders.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)