ANALYSIS – Sunday, 17 February 2019

best selections and strategies

Sha Tin (M47) - Sunday, 17 February 2019

Best Bets HH Live Race 1 Race 2 Race 3 Race 4 Race 5 Race 6 Race 7 Race 8 Race 9 Race 10

19 units Strategy

best outlays

RACE 8

14 HAPPY FORCE (rp – $3.50)

WIN (4.5 units)

10 EARTH TRILOGY (rp – $7.50)

WIN (1.5 units)

HAPPY FORCE is racing very well and the form around him is strong. I expect him to be well positioned on the lead from barrier 1 and with a light weight he’ll be very hard to run down. EARTH TRILOGY is an improver and looks too big in the market as well. He too maps well and could cause a minor upset.

Results: 1st @ $3.50 best corporate (+11.25 units) + 6th (-1.5 units) -> (+9.75 units)

NEXT BEST OUTLAYS

RACE 10

11 GRADE ONE (rp – $6.00)

WIN (2 units) & PLACE (4 units)

11 with 10 & 6

QUINELLA (1 unit each, 2 units total)

GRADE ONE presents as one of the leading chances in the last race and is a great price to bet each way. A repeat of the performance that had him beat Aerohappiness will take him close to securing success again. PICKEN and RACING FIGHTER are other horses that will run well and are worthwhile quinella options.

Results: 3rd @ $4.60p (-2 units)(+14.4 units) + 7th & 2nd (-2 units) -> (+10.4 units)

RACE 3

6 GOLDEN FOUR (rp – $4.50)

WIN (3 units)

10 ROYAL RACER (rp – $6.00)

WIN (2 units)

GOLDEN FOUR and ROYAL RACER are both capable of performing better than market expectation here. Even though the likely pace in the race isn’t ideal (on the slow side), they are drawn to be able to be positioned a pair or two closer than would otherwise be the case so this will help when their finishing sprints are required.

Result: 2nd (-3 units) + 8th (-2 units) -> (-5 units)

Overall result for 19 units strategy

+15.15 UNITS (80% PROFIT)

The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.

Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.

Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.

Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.

So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!

Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.

Cheers

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