R9 BLUE POOL HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M46) - Wednesday, 13 February 2019

22:50 HK TIME

summary


This is a most interesting race. MUSIC ADDITION and TORNADO TWIST are both highly progressive gallopers but the former has drawn well and can hold a prominent position with the latter likely to settle in a rearward position. The last win of Music Addition was the best rating race of the night and he posted the ninth-best final-600m (34.16) of the meeting. He carries 2kg more this time, which isn’t a major concern, and he maps well. I do get the impression that Tornado Twist has more upside. His best figures come through his January12 win, with just 52kg on his back. This time from a wide draw and 59kg in his first preparation, it is asking a lot more. The two runners that can run well at odds are HIGH FIVE and AMBITIOUS HEART, but they are also well-exposed and probably need things not to go the way of the favourites. High Five maps nicely and had actually been in quite good form throughout the season. Ambitious Heart should be competitive with a light weight but also might be nearing his mark. I’m happy to wager Music Addition, but it’s not quite as clear to me as the market shapes it as.

selections


3 MUSIC ADDITION

(rp – $2.50)

1st @ $2.40 & $1.20 ($2.60 best corporate)

5 TORNADO TWIST

(rp – $3.50)

4th

8 HIGH FIVE

(rp – $16.00)

12th

12 AMBITIOUS HEART

(rp – $20.00)

5th

strategy


3 MUSIC ADDITION

WIN

speed


CALIFORNIA ARCHER can lead from AMBITIOUS HEART and the speed should be on the FAST side of GOOD. VICTORY MACHINE also has pace along with HANDSOME BO BO. MUSIC ADDITION can trail the main speed from WATER DIVINER.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)