R6 THE HAPPY VALLEY TROPHY (HANDICAP)

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Happy Valley (M46) - Wednesday, 13 February 2019

21:15 HK TIME

summary


There looks to be plenty of pace in this event and it should set up nicely for those that sit just off the leaders. GUNNISON went to a new level on his last all-weather track win but that may have also been attributable to the light weight he carried, given there isn’t much of him. The extra 3kg here will make it a little tougher, but he handles Happy Valley well and is likely to get a good run in the race from a favourable draw. SUPER HOPPY probably should have won last time and up in grade, with a light weight, he looks a really sound outlay. He posted the third-best (11.58) final-200m of the January 30 meeting and that was off a solid tempo. He gets in here with 51.5kg, gate 1 and I’m happy to go with him at the price. WISHFUL THINKER will appreciate the likely fast tempo and won his only start at Happy Valley, but while it was a good win, it didn’t rate anything special. SUPER TURBO might be worth a smaller play as well if his price gets out as he should appreciate the drop in weight following a couple of sound runs. I’m going to suggest though backing Super Hoppy to win and taking a quinella with Gunnison.

selections


6 SUPER HOPPY

(rp – $4.20)

9th

3 GUNNISON

(rp – $3.50)

3rd @ $1.25p

2 WISHFUL THINKER

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $6.10 & $1.95

5 SUPER TURBO

(rp – $9.00)

4th

strategy


6 SUPER HOPPY

WIN (4.5 units)

6 with 3

QUINELLA (1 unit)

speed


CALIFORNIA FORTUNE and SEA JADE should set a strong speed between them with TELECOM BROTHERS going forward as well. GUNNISON can secure a trail with ALMABABY close by.

SEASON 2018/19 FINAL TOTAL STATS UPDATE:


88

MEETINGS

2292.8

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+239.8

UNITS (10.46% PROFIT)