ANALYSIS – Wednesday, 13 February 2019

best selections and strategies

Happy Valley (M46) - Wednesday, 13 February 2019

Best Bets HH Live Race 1 Race 2 Race 3 Race 4 Race 5 Race 6 Race 7 Race 8 Race 9

24 units Strategy

best outlay

RACE 4

7 HAPPY WARRIOR (rp – $2.50)

WIN (8 units)

7 with 1 & 5

QUINELLA (0.5 unit each, 1 unit total)

HAPPY WARRIOR is the best of the evening and I expect Purton will position him ideally in what might be a race that’s muddlingly run. He was unlucky last start with his prior form being very solid, so he gets his chance to break through against runners he’s been up against last start. ACCLAIMED LIGHT and CHARITY GRAND are good quinella options with Happy Warrior.

Results: 1st @ $2.90 best corporate (+15.2 units) + 9th & 2nd quinella @ $15.05 (+6.5 units) -> (+21.7 units)

NEXT BEST OUTLAYS

RACE 3

10 GRACIOUS RYDER (rp – $3.20)

WIN (5 units)

10 with 3

QUINELLA (0.5 unit)

GRACIOUS RYDER is in the right form and maps ideally to be winning his third race. He should be able to track a good speed through out and from there be too sharp following his last start when although beaten into second, he was well in front of third. VERY RICH MAN is a chance to get a largely uncontested lead and if this is the case, then he’ll be hard to run down.

Results: 2nd (-5 units) + 6th (-0.5 units) -> (-5.5 units)

RACE 6

6 SUPER HOPPY (rp – $4.20)

WIN (4.5 units)

6 with 3

QUINELLA (1 unit)

A horse that is a tad underrated is SUPER HOPPY. He comes from running two strong placings behind the highly promising Country Star, where he himself posted decent figures. There should be good pace here for him to sit just off before sprinting at them late. Him and GUNNISON make an appealing quinella option.

Results: 9th (-4.5 units) + 3rd (-1 unit) -> (-5.5 units)

RACE 7

8 TURIN REDSTAR (rp – $5.00)

WIN (4 units)

He’s a horse I’ve been with plenty of times but I’m happy to go again with TURIN REDSTAR. His performance numbers are simply undeniable and he could get a decent enough position close to the speed even though he’s drawn wide tonight.

Result: 5th (-4 units)

Overall result for 24 units strategy

+6.7 UNITS (28% PROFIT)

The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.

Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.

Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.

Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.

So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!

Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.

Cheers

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