R6 ORCHID HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M45) - Sunday, 10 February 2019

15:40 HK TIME

summary


SUPER STAR looks like he’ll be a bet in this race at the right price. The lightly-raced son of Snitzel was excellent in defeat (third) behind Speedy Dragon after missing the start and rattling home to finish third. Silvestre De Sousa has replaced Karis Teetan this time and if De Sousa jumps Super Star on terms then he should secure a soft run just behind a good speed. The step up to 1,400m should be ideal and he looks the one to beat. FORTUNATE RUNNER has had a little freshen since his last outing when fourth to Picken (has won twice since) and that form has worked out well enough. Fortunate Runner still has more to offer given he’s a lightly-raced son of Tavistock. One of the more interesting runners is MURRAY’S PARTNERS who is another lightly-raced galloper but one that ran well in the Griffin Trophy, posting the best final-200m (11.81) of that race. He has more upside and looks a good ride for Douglas Whyte on his final day in the saddle. CHARIZARD is another with claims to figure in the finish. The tempo was against him when he finished third to nice prospect Full Of Beauty, but he displayed his customary turn of foot and should be powering to the line once again. I’m with Super Star thought as the horse to beat and bet. Take a small unit quinella with Fortunate Runner and Murray’s Partners.

selections


4 SUPER STAR

(rp – $3.75)

1st @ $3.35 & $1.60 ($4.40 best corporate)

7 FORTUNATE RUNNER

(rp – $6.00)

4th

9 MURRAY’S PARTNERS

(rp – $6.00)

11th

2 CHARIZARD

(rp – $8.50)

7th

strategy


4 SUPER STAR

WIN (5.5 units)

4 with 7 & 9

QUINELLA (0.5 unit each, 1 unit total)

speed


I expect the speed to be good here with BIG FORTUNE leading the way from COOLCELEB. FORTUNATE RUNNER with urgings can secure a trail with CALLING THE SHOTS pushing forward from barrier 12.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)